The bioeconomics of planetary energy transitions—a theoretical note

Authors

  • Topher L. McDougal University of San Diego

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15355/epsj.17.2.5

Keywords:

bioeconomics, sustainable energy transitions, predation, competition, cooperation

Abstract

Evidence is mounting that unprecedented economic growth experienced by human societies over the past two centuries has induced a state of crisis for the Earth’s ecological systems—a crisis that threatens human society’s existence and heightens the risk of violent conflict. This article presents a simplified model of bioenergetic evolution on a planetary level. It examines human energy exploitation based on three strategies vis-à-vis the natural world: (1) predation, (2) competition, and, more cursorily, (3) mutualism. Predation involves the capture of energy pre-processed by the biotic community (living organisms sharing a common environment). Competition involves appropriating lands to capture solar-generated energy, edging the biotic community out. Mutualism involves engaging the biotic community in a mutualistic effort to harvest energy (and discard energy waste in the form of heat) outside of the planetary system. The model implies that, theoretically, substantial government investment in Earth-based solar generation may be required to effect a planetary energy transition to avert ecological collapse. The model suggests that this transition is not likely to happen automatically as a function of substitution by individual economic actors prior to ecological collapse; rather, it requires top-down coercive and/or incentive measures applied by government.

Author Biography

Topher L. McDougal, University of San Diego

Topher L. McDougal is Associate Professor of Economic Development & Peacebuilding at the Kroc School of Peace Studies, University of San Diego, California, USA.

References

Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S and Robinson, J. A. 2001. The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation. American Economic Review, 91(5), 1369–1401.

https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.91.5.1369

Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S and Robinson, J. A. 2005. Institutions as the Fundamental Cause of Long-Run Growth. In P. Aghion and S. Durlauf (Eds.), Handbook of Economic Growth. North Holland: Elsevier.

https://doi.org/10.3386/w10481

Agrawala, S., Carraro, M., Kingsmill, N., Lanzi, E., Mullan, M and Prudent-Richard, G. 2011. Private Sector Engagement in Adaptation to Climate Change: Approaches to Managing Climate Risks.

https://doi.org/10.1787/5kg221jkf1g7-en

Arndt, C., Miller, M., Tarp, F., Zinaman, O and Arent, D. (Eds.). 2017. The Political Economy of Clean Energy Transitions. New York: Oxford University Press.

https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198802242.001.0001

Baker, L., Newell, P and Phillips, J. 2014. The Political Economy of Energy Transitions: The Case of South Africa. New Political Economy, 19(6), 791–818.

https://doi.org/10.1080/13563467.2013.849674

Bannon, I and Collier, P. 2003. Natural Resources and Violent Conflict: Options and Actions. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.

https://doi.org/10.1596/0-8213-5503-1

Barnosky, A. D., Matzke, N., Tomiya, S., Wogan, G. O. U., Swartz, B., Quental, T. B. and Ferrer, E. A. 2011). Has the Earth’s sixth mass extinction already arrived? Nature, 471, 51–57.

https://doi.org/10.1038/nature09678

Bertrand, S. 2021. Proposals to Reduce Fossil Fuel Subsidies. Retrieved from Washington, D.C.:

Biello, D. 2011. Plants versus Photovoltaics: Which Are Better to Capture Solar Energy. Scientific American.

Boulding, K. E. 1966. The Economics of the Coming Spaceship Earth. In H. Jarrett (Ed.), Environmental Quality in a Growing Economy (pp. 3–14). Baltimore, MD: Resources for the Future/Johns Hopkins University Press.

Brauer, J. 2009. War and Nature: The Environmental Consequences of War in a Globalized World. New York: Alta Mira Press.

Brauer, J and McDougal, T. L. 2020. Bioeconomic Peace Research and Policy. Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, 26(3).

https://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2020-0034

Chen, B., Xiong, R., Li, H., Sun, Q and Yang, J. 2019. Pathways for sustainable energy transition. Journal of Cleaner Production, 228, 1564–1571.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.04.372

Choi-Fitzpatrick, A. 2022 (forthcoming). The Future of Human Rights. Retrieved from Cambridge, MA:

Climate Action Tracker. 2021. Glasgow’s 2030 credibility gap: net zero’s lip service to climate action. Retrieved from https://climateactiontracker.org/documents/997/CAT_2021-11-09_Briefing_Global-Update_Glasgow2030CredibilityGap.pdf

Daly, H. 1999. Ecological Economics and Sustainable Development, Selected Essays of Herman Daly. Northhampton, MA: Edward Elgar.

Earth Observatory. 2009. Earth’s Energy Budget. Retrieved from https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/features/EnergyBalance/page4.php#:~:text=Thus%2C%20about%2071%20percent%20of,surfaces%20and%20the%20atmosphere%20itself

England, J. L. 2015. Dissipative Adaptation in Driven Self-assembly. Nature Nanotechnology, 10, 919–923.

https://doi.org/10.1038/nnano.2015.250

Evans, P. B. 1995. Embedded Autonomy: States and Industrial Transformation. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400821723

Foster, C. 2021. Being a Human: Adventures in Forty Thousand Years of Consciousness. New York: Metropolitan Books.

Furnaro, A. 2019. Neoliberal energy transitions: The renewable energy boom in the Chilean mining economy. Environment and Planning E: Nature and Space, 3(4), 951–975.

https://doi.org/10.1177/2514848619874685

Haggard, S., MacIntyre, A and Tiede, L. 2008. The Rule of Law and Economic Development. The Annual Review of Political Science, 11, 205–234.

https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.polisci.10.081205.100244

Haraway, D. J. 2016. Staying with the Trouble: Making Kin in the Chthulucene. Durham, NC: Duke University Press.

https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctv11cw25q

Hardin, G. 1968. The Tragedy of the Commons. Science, 162(3859), 1243–1248.

https://doi.org/10.1126/science.162.3859.1243

Heal, G. 2022. Economic Aspects of the Energy Transition. Environmental and Resource Economics.

https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-022-00647-4

Hoekstra, A., Steinbuch, M and Verbong, G. 2017. Creating Agent-Based Energy Transition Management Models That Can Uncover Profitable Pathways to Climate Change Mitigation. Complexity, 2017, 1967645.

https://doi.org/10.1155/2017/1967645

Homer-Dixon, T. 1994. Environmental Scarcities and Violent Conflict: Evidence from Cases. International Security, 19(1), 4–40.

https://doi.org/10.2307/2539147

Hsiang, S. M., Burke, M and Miguel, E. 2013. Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict. Science, 341(6151).

https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1235367

Humphreys, M. 2005. Natural Resources, Conflict and Conflict Resolution: Uncovering the Mechanisms. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 49(4), 508–537.

https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002705277545

Kennedy, D. 2006. The “Rule of Law,” Political Choices and Development Common Sense. In D. M. Trubek and A. Santos (Eds.), The New Law and Economic Development: A Critical Appraisal (pp. 95–173). New York: Cambridge University Press.

https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511754425.004

Kern, F and Markard, J. 2016. Analysing Energy Transitions: Combining Insights from Transition Studies and International Political Economy. In T. Van de Graaf, B. K. Sovacool, A. Ghosh, F. Kern and M. T. Klare (Eds.), The Palgrave Handbook of the International Political Economy of Energy (pp. 291–318). London: Palgrave Macmillan UK.

https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-55631-8_12

Kolbert, E. 2015. The Sixth Extinction: An Unnatural History. New York: Picador.

Korten, D. 1995. Sustainable Development: Conventional versus Emergent Alternative Wisdom. People-Centered Development Forum. Retrieved from https://davidkorten.org/wisdom/

Le Billon, P. 2001. The Political Ecology of War: Natural Resources and Armed Conflicts. Political Geography, 20, 561–584.

https://doi.org/10.1016/S0962-6298(01)00015-4

Lovelock, J. 2020. Novacene. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

Meadows, D., Randers, J and Meadows, D. 2004. Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update. White River Junction, VT: Chelsea Green.

Newell, P. 2019. Trasformismo or transformation? The global political economy of energy transitions. Review of International Political Economy, 26(1), 25–48.

https://doi.org/10.1016/S0962-6298(01)00015-4

Newell, P. 2021. Power Shift: The Global Political Economy of Energy Transitions. New York: Cambridge University Press.

https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108966184

North, D. C. 2003. The Role of Institutions in Economic Development. Retrieved from Geneva, Switzerland:

O’Rourke, D. 2002. Community-Driven Regulation: Toward an Improved Model of Environmental Regulation in Vietnam. In P. B. Evans (Ed.), Liveable Cities? Urban Struggles for Livelihood and Sustainability. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.

Ostrom, E. 1990. Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511807763

Pauw, P and Pegels, A. 2013. Private sector engagement in climate change adaptation in least developed countries: an exploration. Climate and Development, 5(4), 257–267.

https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2013.826130

Raberto, M., Ozel, B., Ponta, L., Teglio, A and Cincotti, S. 2019. From financial instability to green finance: the role of banking and credit market regulation in the Eurace model. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 29(1), 429–465.

https://doi.org/10.1007/s00191-018-0568-2

Raworth, K. 2017. Doughnut Economics: Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st Century Economist: Chelsea Green.

Rodrik, D. 2000. Institutions for High-Quality Growth: What They Are and How to Acquire Them. Studies in Comparative International Development, 35, 3–31.

https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02699764

Roy, M. 2019. Elevating Services: Services Trade Policy, WTO Commitments and Their Role in Economic Development and Trade Integration. Journal of World Trade, 53(6), 923–950.

https://doi.org/10.54648/TRAD2019037

Schor, J. 2010. Plenitude: The New Economics of True Wealth. New York: Penguin Press.

Snyder, R and Bhavnani, R. 2005. Diamonds, Blood and Taxes: A Revenue-Centered Framework for Explaining Political Order. The Journal of Conflict Resolution, 49(4), 563–597.

https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002705277796

Su, C and Urban, F. 2021. Circular economy for clean energy transitions: A new opportunity under the COVID-19 pandemic. Applied Energy, 289, 116666.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116666

Veblen, T. 1904. The Theory of Business Enterprise. New York: Charles Scribner's Sons.

Williamson, O. E. 2000. The New Institutional Economics: Taking Stock, Looking Ahead. Journal of Economic Literature, 38, 595–613.

https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.38.3.595

Wolchover, N. 2014. A New Physics Theory of Life. Quanta Magazine.

Wright, G. 2020. Slavery and Anglo-American capitalism revisited. Economic History Review, 73(2), 353–383.

https://doi.org/10.1111/ehr.12962

Yadoo, A and Cruickshank, H. 2012. The role for low carbon electrification technologies in poverty reduction and climate change strategies: A focus on renewable energy mini-grids with case studies in Nepal, Peru and Kenya. Energy Policy, 42, 591–602.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.12.029

Downloads

Published

2022-10-17

How to Cite

McDougal, T. L. (2022). The bioeconomics of planetary energy transitions—a theoretical note. The Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 17(2). https://doi.org/10.15355/epsj.17.2.5

Issue

Section

Articles

Similar Articles

<< < 1 2 3 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.