Military expenditure and economic growth, 1960–2014

Authors

  • J. Paul Dunne Department of Economics, University of Cape Town, Cape Town
  • Nan Tian Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit (SALDRU), University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15355/epsj.11.2.50

Keywords:

Military expenditure growth, SIPRI data

Abstract

This article compares results of our 2015 study of the effect of military expenditure on economic growth, 1988–2010, with results using an additional 28 years of data provided in the newly revised and extended SIPRI dataset, 1960–2014. When the additional data points are added, we find no substantive differences and confirm the statistically significant negative effect of military expenditure on growth reported in our prior research. Using the same estimation process, there is no evidence of a structural break in the time series. Considering nonlinearity and heterogeneity, the estimates using the new data for ninety-seven countries are remarkably consistent with the earlier results and, overall, are very similar in sign and statistical significance, and many of the coefficients are larger (more adverse) than before. The new data provide valuable extra information and support for the original findings.

References

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Published

2016-10-01

How to Cite

Dunne, J. P., & Tian, N. (2016). Military expenditure and economic growth, 1960–2014. The Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 11(2). https://doi.org/10.15355/epsj.11.2.50

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